Resource Capacity Planning

Planning objective

Restore 18% reserve in South and East without breaching donor-site guardrails

Current package

4 compute transfers, 2 staffing backfills, 1 maintenance deferral

Decision deadline

Regional review closes at 14:00 UTC for same-day execution

Planning inputs

Assumptions and active constraints

Scenario assumptions

Demand growth +12% projected

Reserve threshold 18%

Critical regions South, East

Approval owner Regional Ops Director

Regional load watch

South

88%

East

79%

North

69%

Central

52%

Active constraints

Constraint: South maintenance lock

South-04 cannot accept hardware moves during the 13:00 to 15:00 change freeze.

Constraint: staffing certification

Only East-01 and APAC-02 reserve agents are certified for the current deployment mix.

Intervention workspace

Draft moves in Scenario A

Intervention	From	To	Execution window	Expected effect
Compute transfer	Central-03	South-04	Tonight 01:00	-16 pts saturation risk
Staffing backfill	APAC-02	East-01	Tomorrow shift 1	+9 hrs response coverage
Storage cleanup	EU-ARC-2	Shared archive pool	Same day	-11% archive pressure

Donor readiness

Central-03

12 reserve units available. Releasing 8 maintains local headroom above governance target.

APAC-02

Can release 2 certified agents without weakening local response commitments.

Receiving need

South-04

Highest risk in portfolio. Forecast buffer improves from 6% to 19% after approved move.

East-01

Staffing backfill prevents overtime escalation and delayed deployment work.

Decision outcome

Risk reduction

Forecasted outage exposure falls from 4 events to 1 event in the current cycle.

Financial impact

Avoids $148k in projected overtime, rental capacity, and urgent response premiums.

Approval package

Scenario outcome and signoff readiness

3 gates outstanding

Projected savings

$148k this quarter from avoided overtime, rental capacity, and deferred incident recovery.

Reduced incidents

Four forecasted outages removed from the current operating cycle.

Execution window

48 hours to complete the approved transfers and staffing changes.

Residual risk

South remains sensitive only if demand exceeds the high case by more than 6%.

Draft package ready

Prepared by Capacity Operations with updated forecast model and staffing schedule.

Regional review in progress

South and East leadership are the remaining approvers on the intervention package.

Execution handoff

If approved by 14:00, all changes move into tonight's governed change window.

Approval checklist

Outstanding gates

Gate	Owner	Status
Regional signoff	D. Romero	Pending
Maintenance clearance	P. Olsen	In review
Finance exception	M. Cruz	Cleared

Operational planning surface for interventions that restore reserve without creating new downstream risk.

Assumptions and active constraints

Draft moves in Scenario A

Scenario outcome and signoff readiness

Outstanding gates